A♠Q♦ on the Turn, what do you do here?
DECISION POINT: In a Cash Game, it folds to the Cutoff who raises. It folds to you in the Big Blind with A♠Q♦, and you re-raise. The Cutoff calls. The Flop comes 2♣5♥9♣. You bet and the Cutoff calls. The Turn is the 6♥. Action is on you, what do you do here?
PRO ANSWER: In this hand, 3-betting preflop and c-betting the flop is the most profitable default line to take with AQ offsuit in the Big Blind facing a late position raise.
In general, we can follow turn second bullet criteria of betting again when the turn increases our hand equity or fold equity. For example, betting the turn again on a King would be profitable, since that is a scare card and often part of our 3-betting range.
Against an opponent that floats often on the flop, we could also fire on a few additional turn cards such as a non-club J, 2, 3, 4 or 5. The J has some overcard scare card value, while the 3 and 4 give us wheel draw outs along with our overcards.
The board pairing low cards 2 or 5 make sets or turned two pair less likely, so our Ace high is more often the best hand. But against opponents that rarely float, we should simply check on all those cards.
On this particular card there's no reason to believe we have increased fold equity. In fact, it now makes backdoor heart draws live, so a turn second barrel will work less often.
Checking with the intention of folding to a standard bet is the best play.
How would you play it?
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P.S. LearnWPT.com Members can review these Strategy Episodes for more information on concepts discussed in this analysis:
- Episode 31: Turn 2nd Bullets
- Episode 186: Floating
- Episode 10: 3-Betting
- Episode 56: 3-Betting Strategies
- Episode 150: Linear vs Polarized 3-Betting (download the 3-Betting range charts on the Tools Dashboard).
Not a Member? Check out the above links for a preview!