T♣J♣ on the Turn, what do you do here?

10-J on the Turn-optimized.gif


DECISION POINT:
On a turn that completes a possible flush, the Big Blind leads out. You call with top two pair, and the third player raises and the initial bettor calls. What do you do?


PRO ANSWER:
Most players are far too fearful of flushes whenever a flush is possible on the board. This leads to many players playing timidly and losing value with their big hands.

However, when a possible flush is accompanied by corresponding aggression from our opponents, their hand range narrows to be comprised of more flushes.

In this case, one of the callers on the flop bet out into two opponents when the third heart hits on the turn. This range alone is cause for concern and often contains many heart flushes.

However, we are getting reasonable pot odds to call this turn bet, knowing that there are other types of hands that we beat in their range.

After we call, the third player raises. Most players do not raise on three-flush boards against a bet and a call without a very premium hand, in this case usually a heart flush.

Continued below...


In addition, the initial bettor chose to continue against this raise, making stronger hands an even more likely part of their hand range.

Since we are unlikely to improve to a full house (we only have 4 outs), we should simply cut our losses and fold this hand.

Folding is the best play.

What would you do here?
Share your answer in the comments below!



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