Trip Aces on the River, what do you do here?
DECISION POINT: In a live $1-2 game, a player that limps speculative hands and raises their good hands decides to limp UTG and Small Blind completes. You raise from the Big Blind with A♥T♠ and both players call. On the A♠4♠3♣ flop SB checks, you bet, both players call. Turn comes 9♣, SB checks, you bet, UTG folds, and SB calls. Heads-up on the A♦ river your opponent checks and action is on you. What do you do here?
PRO ANSWER: Against the capped preflop ranges of both Villains, betting both the flop and turn will be profitable both as a value bet and to deny equity.
On the river, we should be shoving for value against Small Blind's range. We can assume that they can have nearly any Ax hand, but skewed away from AK and AQ as most players will raise with those hands preflop.
There are many more combos of Ax hands that we beat than Ax hands that have us beat. We are more likely to be shown one of the smaller Aces (A8, A7, A6, A5, A2) than AJ+ or a full house. We may get calls from hands like 9sXs as well.
It’s important to maximize value with our made hands and recognizing Villain’s capped preflop range makes this a very clear value bet.
Moving all-in is the best play.
How would you play it?
Share your answer in the comments below!
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