Please set your LearnWPT Password now. Your username is the email address you joined with. Having trouble? Email us at help@learnwpt.com

Password:

Confirm:

Does this overpair make a profitable call on the river

  • 111Jackhammr318 (Westside, CA)

Interesting spot in an online $.50/$1 9handed game

The Villain in the BB has fairly tight stats, with a 22/18 over 293 hands.

His BB defend is 26% over 23 hands, which seems on the tighter side, but the data is defending against all positions. 

I have questions on the flop, turn, and river. Both in line and sizing.

1) Flop: I flop a one card OESD on a rainbow board, with an overpair that is blocking the top pair combos in villain's range. I would estimate I have a slight equity advantage, but a polarization disadvantage, as Villain is going to have all sorts of combos of nut hands, and strong draws, as well as a bluffing range that could attack a c-bet. So I choose to check...but maybe a cbet is warranted here. I would guess a large sizing (running the PIO right now)

2) Turn: Once the top card pairs, BB leads out with a large bet. I can't see a fold here, as I have good equity against his semibluffs, and am drawing to the straight and the FH is BB does indeed have trips. 

3) River: This is where I consider an exploitative fold. I am guessing PIO is having TT and all overpairs in its BC range. However, against this sizing and a tighter villain, this could ratchet up the calling range for me here. Most of villains turn betting range would be happy to check/call here. The main bluffs could be hands like 68 or 67, but I think those may have checked the turn...and likely would have checked the river after betting turn.

I'll post PIO results next...probably with some node locking

Thanks

PT

Hand Input Tool

NL Cash (1/2)

Answers are only available to members.