Here was the hand of the evening
Hero in SB with 14k
Villain in BB with 190k
Villain is a Euro pro who has been playing aggressively since building his stack in Level 4.
Folds to Hero in SB
Hero opens to 1300 with As4c
Ac 7d 3h
Considered a check/shove or a check/call
Hero bets 1300
BB moves all in
My original line was to check/call any bet, since Villain has been so aggressive.
But after some deliberation, I determine:
1) Hero has been playing super tight, with a tight image (completely card dead)
2) Villain has been very aggressive the last 3 hours, visibly loose image, showing made strong hands and bluffs when raising
3) Hero has opened pre, then led into aggressive villain with our images, Hero is repping top pair, and very few bluffs
4) Villain has still chosen to raise/shove?
I now place Villain on weak to middle Ax hands, sets, and some middling pocket pairs, but I see him calling with a large portion of this range.
Villain is either two pair or better, or pure air...I don't see much value in the air here for Villain, since I am close to committed when I barrel flop.
I fold, your thoughts?