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Should I open raise or open shove AJo on the bubble or fold

  • 111Jackhammr318 (Westside, CA)

We are in hand for hand play:

Winning Poker Network Game #1023290859: No Limit Holdem (1,000/2,000) [2017/10/05 01:54:38 UTC]
Table: HS Wednesday – $15,000 GTD, Table 24
Tournament: 7848270
Seats: 9
Seat 1: Hero (37,215)
Seat 2: AiBangMaiNi (28,170)
Seat 3: CmeWin2911 (94,253)
Seat 4: dantheman1987 (26,609)
Seat 5: _Dred_Rednose (81,590)
Seat 6: secoip (48,428)
Seat 7: mavs69 (34,356)
Seat 8: Kobe86 (101,197)
Seat 9: OMGitsWHG (81,886)
Button is seat 6
mavs69: antes 200
Kobe86: antes 200
OMGitsWHG: antes 200
Hero : antes 200
AiBangMaiNi: antes 200
CmeWin2911: antes 200
dantheman1987: antes 200
_Dred_Rednose: antes 200
secoip: antes 200
mavs69: posts small blind 1,000
Kobe86: posts big blind 2,000
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Hero: dealt [Jd Ah]
OMGitsWHG: folds


























Hero?

Case for open shoving: Grab my equity, bubble play will be tight, I have a strong hand…only getting called by top 4-6% of Villain’s range…7 players left so fold equity is 65-75%

Case against open shoving: Probably only getting called by 88+, AQ+, KQs or maybe even as tight as TT+, AQs+, AK…these hands have great equity against AJo

Case for min raising: Could be seen as stronger than open shove, can get away from a lot of action behind if that occurs

Case against min raising: A solid player with more chips could level my stack and steal my equity

Case for folding: ICM considerations?

I will run through ICM and CardrunnersEV but would like to see the process as well.

Thanks,

Pat

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