Full House on the Turn, what do you do here?

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DECISION POINT:
In a live $1-2 game you raise from Under the Gun with 9♠9♥ and get called by MP2 and the Small Blind. SB checks the 9♦5♦K♣ flop, you bet, MP2 calls. Turn comes K♦. You check-raise your full house and Villain calls. The river is Q♠ and action is on you. What do you do here?

PRO ANSWER: There are two potential lines to take with this hand after we check the turn:

1) Check-calling the turn and checking the river with the intention of check-raising all-in.

2) Check-raising the turn and shoving the river.

Once we check-raise the turn, most opponents will shut down on the river and check behind with flushes and trips if we check to them, so we lose value by checking.

Continued below...

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A more optimal opponent might bet with a reasonable frequency when we check to them on the river after check-raising turn, but many real world opponents shut down after our turn check-raise. For that reason, moving all-in on the river will be more profitable than checking.

Checking might be best against an opponent with a high bluff frequency, but as a default we should attempt to maximize value against flushes and trips and simply shove after check-raising turn.

Moving all-in is the best play.

How would you play it?
Share your answer in the comments below!


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