Full House on the Turn, what do you do here?
DECISION POINT: In a live $1-2 game you raise from Under the Gun with 9♠9♥ and get called by MP2 and the Small Blind. SB checks the 9♦5♦K♣ flop, you bet, MP2 calls. Turn comes K♦. You check-raise your full house and Villain calls. The river is Q♠ and action is on you. What do you do here?
PRO ANSWER: There are two potential lines to take with this hand after we check the turn:
1) Check-calling the turn and checking the river with the intention of check-raising all-in.
2) Check-raising the turn and shoving the river.
Once we check-raise the turn, most opponents will shut down on the river and check behind with flushes and trips if we check to them, so we lose value by checking.
A more optimal opponent might bet with a reasonable frequency when we check to them on the river after check-raising turn, but many real world opponents shut down after our turn check-raise. For that reason, moving all-in on the river will be more profitable than checking.
Checking might be best against an opponent with a high bluff frequency, but as a default we should attempt to maximize value against flushes and trips and simply shove after check-raising turn.
Moving all-in is the best play.
How would you play it?
Share your answer in the comments below!
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