J♥10♥ on the River, what do you do here?
Decision Point: In a Cash Game, two UTG players call, and you call from MP with J♥10♥. The Button calls, the Small Blind folds, and the Big Blind checks. The Flop comes 7♥Q♥4♣. The Big Blind bets, UTG+1 folds, UTG+2 calls, you call, and the Button folds. The Turn is the 9♣. The Big Blind bets, UTG+2 calls, and you call. The River is the A♣. The Big Blind bets and UTG+2 folds. Action is on you, what do you do here?
Pro Answer: We called preflop, on the flop, and on the turn with correct odds to draw. We missed on the river and the player in the big blind bets again into the field.
Some players are tempted to bluff too often when their draws miss, especially when another draw comes in that can be represented (backdoor club flush).
In this case, we have an opponent that bet postflop on all three streets into multiple opponents. This opponent rarely holds a hand that they consider weak and will often call a raise from us, even though we could have a club flush.
One of the benefits of calling with correct pot odds or implied odds with your draws is that you do not need to bluff with a high frequency when your draw misses.
Your draws will regularly miss and you must be capable of simply folding, especially when it’s likely that your opponent holds a hand that they consider strong.
If you have fired multiple bullets with a big draw that misses on the river, you could consider betting again as a third barrel against a single opponent. In this case, however, you were not the aggressor and were calling down.
Folding is the best play.
What would you do here?
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