K♥Q♥ on the Flop, what do you do here?

KQ on the Flop.gif

Decision Point: In a Tournament, a Middle Position player raises, it folds to you on the Button and you call with K♥Q♥. The Small Blind folds and the Big Blind calls. The Flop comes 2♠5♥8♣. The Big Blind and the MP player check. Action is on you, what do you do here?

Pro Answer: In this hand, we called preflop with KQ suited in position against 2 opponents. They both check to us on a fairly dry flop. Do we check or bet?

When deciding whether or not to take a stab at a pot without having connected with the flop, there are several factors to consider.

The first should be how likely we believe we are to win the pot uncontested with a bet. This is influenced by the number of opponents on the flop, board texture, position and opponent hand ranges.

In this case we have a very dry flop with two opponents that have both checked on the flop. This makes it less likely that anyone has connected with the board. This makes taking a stab at the pot much more profitable than situations with more opponents, more coordinated flops or if we were out of position.

We should also consider how much equity our hand may have when our bet is called. In this case, we have two overcards to the flop, so we can occasionally turn or river top pair when our bet is called. This adds to the overall profitability of our bluff.

Taking a stab at the flop is profitable.

Betting is the best play.

What would you do here?
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