Q♠Q♦ vs a Turn Check-Raise, what do you do here?
DECISION POINT: In a Tournament, it folds to you on the Button and you raise with Q♠Q♦. The Small Blind calls and the Big Blind folds. The Flop is J♠5♣2♦. The Small Blind checks, you bet, and they call. The Turn is the 7♥. The Small Blind checks, you bet, and they raise. Action is on you, what do you do here?
PRO ANSWER: One of the keys to understanding this hand is to recognize that both hand ranges are fairly wide. We open raised on the Button, which is generally perceived as a range of 40-50% of all hands. The SB flat calls, which is often a capped range of 15-20% of all hands.
Our actual hand, QQ, is near the top of our perceived range. In other words, our hand is much stronger than the average hand that our opponent thinks we have. Our opponent could easily be making this turn raise for value with top pair hands such as AJ, KJ, QJ, etc. Those hands are all very strong against our wide perceived range.
Since we are well ahead of many hands that our opponent could raise for value, we should not fold our hand. The decision now is whether to reraise all-in or call.
Since QQ is somewhat vulnerable to overcards, we should reraise all-in now on the turn. If we had a set instead of QQ, our hand would be less vulnerable and we could call this raise in the hope of inducing more action from hands that might fold to a turn all-in.
However, holding QQ, moving all-in is the best play.
How would you play it?
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