Q♠Q♦ vs a Turn Check, what do you do here?

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In a live $1-2 Cash Game a UTG player raises, you 3-Bet to $18 with Q♠Q♦ and it folds around to UTG who calls. Your c-bet gets check-raised on the 4♥2♦J♥ flop and you call. Your opponent checks the 7♦ turn and action is on you. What do you do here?

ANALYSIS: We should bet on the turn when our opponent checks in this spot. We aren't that deep on the flop (SPR = 5), so an overpair is relatively strong on this board even after the check-raise.

Given that we 3-bet preflop, our opponent can expect us to c-bet close to 100% of the time when they check on the flop. If they suspect we may be 3-betting light preflop, the small flop check-raise may be an attempt to exploit this.

Continued below...

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Of the hands we beat, they can easily have Jx, backdoor diamonds, the heart draw or various types of air. Against that range we should not give a free card.

Since they regularly have a relatively small number outs, we make the most profit by betting on the smaller side, perhaps around $50 into the $127 pot. We then should not fold if they move all-in over our bet.

Betting is the best play.

How would you play it?
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