Set of T♦T♥ on the Turn, what do you do here?

Set of Tens on the Turn-optimized.gif


DECISION POINT:
In a Cash Game, four players limp and you raise with T♦T♥, getting two callers. The Flop comes 8♠9♦T♠, giving you top set. Your opponents check, you bet, and both call. The Turn is the Q♣. One opponent checks, and the other goes all-in for less than a pot-sized bet. What do you do here

PRO ANSWER: One of the reasons why sets are such strong hands in No-Limit Hold’em is the fact that, in addition to usually being the best hand, they also are draws to even stronger hands: full houses or quads.

Even if the player in the MP2 seat has a straight 100% of the time (which they don't), we cannot fold to the $57 bet into the $214 pot. With those pot odds of nearly 5-1, we only need a little more than 17% equity to continue, even assuming we are always beat right now.

With our set, we have 10 outs to a full house or quads on the river (any 8, 9, T or Q). We will improve on the river around 20% of the time, so we have more than the necessary equity to continue against a made straight.

Continued below...


Also, your set is still occasionally the best hand.

Shoving the turn is far better than simply calling. We don't want to offer nearly 6-1 pot odds to the UTG+2 player if we just call the $57. They could then profitably call with a flush draw.

Shoving charges our opponent to draw and denies them their equity.

Moving all-in is the best play.

How would you play it?
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