Straight vs a River Bet, what do you do here?
DECISION POINT: Preflop, UTG calls, it folds to you on the Button and you call with 9♣8♣. The Small Blind folds and the Big Blind checks. The flop is 4♣5♥7♣. The Big Blind checks and UTG bets. You raise, the Big Blind folds, and UTG calls. The turn is the 6♥. UTG checks, and you bet. UTG calls. The river is the 4♦, pairing the board. UTG bets. Action is on you, what do you do here?
PRO ANSWER: Our opponent led into us on the flop, called our raise, check-called our turn bet, then led the river on this four card straight and paired board. We can expect our opponent to have a full house here a reasonable amount of the time.
However, they might also take this overall line with other straights, trips, or occasionally missed heart flush draws. In addition, our opponent bet less than half the pot, giving us pot odds of over 3-1. This means we need just under 25% equity to call this bet. We can expect have this much equity, therefore we should at least call.
Raising for value is out of the question, since only better hands than ours would call our raise. Raising as a bluff won’t work, since better hands than ours will not fold.
This makes calling the best play.
How would you play it?
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