Top Pair on the Turn, what do you do here?
DECISION POINT: In a Cash Game, it folds to the Cutoff who raises. You reraise from the Button with K♣J♦. It folds around to the Cutoff who calls. The Flop comes J♠T♠7♦. The Cutoff checks. You bet, and the Cutoff calls. The Turn is the 4♦. The Cutoff checks. Action is on you, what do you do here?
PRO ANSWER: You 3-bet preflop with KJ against a late position raise and your continuation bet on the flop gets called. What do you do on this turn?
This hand illustrates how the value of one pair hands on the flop can change based on stack depth and stack to pot ratio (SPR). If stacks were much deeper, we would often bet this turn and generally be ready to fold to a turn raise, or check behind on less coordinated boards.
However, we have less than a pot-sized bet left on the turn. Our standard turn bet of between half pot and ⅔ pot represents the majority of our remaining stack, therefore we choose to simply move all-in.
Hands like top pair good kicker often have less value on coordinated flops such as this one when stacks are deeper. This is because the more chips that go in postflop, the more likely one pair is to be beat.
In this hand we started with 50 big blinds and since we 3-bet preflop and continuation bet on the flop, we are now pot committed with our hand.
If we had both started the hand with more chips, situations may arise where we are forced to fold this hand. With this stack size, we must continue against a single opponent with top pair, good kicker.
Moving all-in is the best play.
What would you do here?
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