Two Pair vs Flush Card on the Turn, what do you do here?

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DECISION POINT:
In a Tournament, it folds to you in the Cutoff seat and you raise with Q♦J♦. The Button and the Big Blind call. The Flop comes Q♠J♠3♦. The Big Blind checks and you bet. The Button and the Big Blind call. The Turn is the 6♠. The Big Blind bets, and you call. The Button raises, and the Big Blind calls. Action is on you, what do you do here?

PRO ANSWER: On a turn that completes a flush draw, the Big Blind leads out and you call with top two pair. The Button raises and the initial bettor calls. What do you do?

Most players are far too fearful of flushes whenever a flush is possible on the board. This leads to many players playing far too timidly and lost value with their big hands. However, when a possible flush is accompanied by corresponding aggression from your opponents, their hand range narrows to be comprised of more flushes.

In this case, one of the callers on the flop bet out into two opponents when the third spade hits on the turn. This range alone is cause for concern and often contains many spade flushes. However, we are getting reasonable pot odds to call this turn bet, knowing that their are other types of hands that we beat in their range.

Continued below...

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After we call, the third player raises. Most players do not raise on three-flush boards against a bet and a call without a very premium hand, in this case usually a spade flush.

In addition, the initial bettor chooses to continue against this raise, making stronger hands an even more likely part of their hand range.

Since we are unlikely to improve to a full house (we only have 4 outs), we should simply cut our losses and fold this hand.

Folding is the best play.

What would you do here?
Share your answer in the comments below!



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