Poker Quiz! Bottom Set on The Turn, what do you do here?

Bottom-Set-Sixes-Turn


DECISION POINT:
In a 6-handed live $1-2 cash game the Middle Position player limps and action folds to you on the Button with 6♥6♣. You raise to $8, the Blinds fold, and MP2 calls. Your opponent checks the T♦7♦6♦ flop, you bet $11 and get called. The turn is 3♣, your opponent checks, and action is on you. What do you do here?

PRO ANSWER: We are playing in a low stakes $1-2 cash game with stack sizes mostly around $200. There are no significant reads on any players and we are dealt 6h6c on the Button. MP2 open limps Under the Gun and it folds to us.

With pocket sixes both limping behind and playing our small pocket pair as a speculative hand, and isolation raising the preflop limper are reasonable options. If we were at a very loose table where we could often expect one or both of the Blinds to come along even if we raised the limper in this spot, then limping behind is likely the better choice. However in games where we can expect to often be heads up in position, especially passive ones where we are unlikely to be facing many 3-bets after we raise, isolating raising is a better choice. We make it $8 and everyone except the original limper folds.

The flop is Td7d6d and our opponent checks. We flop a strong hand with bottom set but this is an all diamond monotone board which also has a straight draw present. A common mistake players make is to slow down in these situations. Bottom set is quite likely the best hand now, and in the unlikely event they have a straight or a flush we have 7 outs to fill up (or hit quads) on the turn and 10 outs on the river if we miss the turn.

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Bottom set has good equity when behind in this spot unless our opponent has exactly 9d8d, and often we are significantly ahead. Our hand also benefits tremendously from protection here as there are many hands with a random diamond or 8x/9x hands in MP2’s range that would greatly benefit from a free card. A small flop bet here is often enough to get the job done but we decide to bet a little larger sizing of $11, and our opponent calls.

The turn is the 3c and our opponent checks. Many players will exercise caution after their opponent calls the flop bet on this board. While you should often be more concerned that your opponent has a stronger holding as they put more money in the pot, often this flop call actually means it’s less likely they flopped a flush or a straight. Many non-nut flushes and straights would want to raise the flop here to protect their own hand for many of the same reasons we decided to bet.

While 9d8d and AdXd may play this way since they are less vulnerable to free cards, these hands make up a very small percentage of MP2’s overall range. Getting check-raised here would certainly put us in an uncomfortable spot since we could check behind and take a free draw to a full house or quads on the river, our hand has too much value against MP2’s overall range and still benefits significantly from protection. Betting ½ to ¾ pot here is enough to protect our hand and extract value from their range.

Betting is the best play.

How would you play it?
Share your answer in the comments below!


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